Comparing the mega-teams from LA

December 17, 2012

> Following the 2011 season, Los Angeles was not in a good state as far as the sport of baseball goes. The Angels and Dodgers hadn’t reached the postseason in 2010 or 2011, posting some of their worst seasons in decades (by their standards). The Angels were struggling to find any offensive consistency to back their decent starting pitching. The Dodgers were having similar issues, but their problems extended off the field as well, as Frank McCourt left them bankrupt.

I don’t think the Dodgers were expecting to contend in 2012 (at least early on) because of where they were financially, but their one huge move was giving Matt Kemp an eight-year, $160 million deal following his MVP-caliber campaign in 2011. The Angels, however, made themselves early favorites for the World Series by signing Albert Pujols to a 10-year, $254 million deal, and C.J. Wilson to a five-year, $77.5 million deal.

Fast-forward to the 2012 offseason- following yet another season in which neither of these teams made the postseason- and a lot has changed. The Dodgers are nowhere near bankrupt; in fact, they’re the polar opposite, thanks to Magic Johnson and Co. The Angels are in the same position they were last year, but if they don’t make the postseason this time around, there’s something very wrong.

Anyway, let’s take a look at each of these teams from every angle- the lineup, the rotation, the bullpen, and so on. Both of them are considered near locks for the playoffs, but one has to be better than the other, right?

THE LINEUPS

Angels: 

1. Mike Trout, CF
2. Erick Aybar, SS
3. Albert Pujols, 1B
4. Josh Hamilton, RF
5. Mark Trumbo, LF
6. Kendrys Morales, DH
7. Howie Kendrick, 2B
8. Alberto Callaspo, 3B
9. Chris Iannetta, C

Dodgers: 

1. Mark Ellis, 2B
2. Luis Cruz, 3B
3. Matt Kemp, CF
4. Adrian Gonzalez, 1B
5. Hanley Ramirez, SS
6. Andre Ethier, RF
7. Jerry Hairston Jr., LF
8. A.J. Ellis, C
9. Pitcher

OK, first off, Hairston isn’t going to start the entire season. Once Carl Crawford returns from the disabled list, he’ll take Hairston’s spot, and that’ll change the whole culture of the lineup (many project Crawford to hit second). But, until Crawford comes back- which will probably sometime in late May- that’s what I’m guessing the Dodgers’ lineup will look like.

Anyway, those are both powerhouse lineups. The each feature possibly the best 3-4-5-6 combos in their respective league in Pujols-Hamilton-Trumbo-Morales and Kemp-Gonzalez-Ramirez-Ethier. It’s hard to say which is really better than the other; both are going to be very exciting to watch. While I think the Angels’ lineup might be the more exciting with three perennial MVP candidates in Trout, Pujols, and Hamilton, I think the Dodgers have the overall better lineup. The reason I say this is because there are more experienced hitters in the Dodgers lineup, and by experienced, I mean hitters that you know what you’re going to get from them. Kemp, A-Gon, Ramirez, and Ethier aren’t necessarily “veterans” yet, but they’ve certainly been around the block a few times and have shown they can produce consistently at the big league level from year to year. The Angels definitely have that experience in Pujols and Hamilton, but they have a lot of younger, inexperienced hitters who I think we need to see more from. There’s no denying that Trout had the best offensive rookie season in quite some time, but that doesn’t mean he’s not going to be susceptible to a sophomore slump. Trumbo hit over .300 for the most of the season last year, but then flamed out for the last two months and fell to a .268 average.

I think if everyone in the Angels’ lineup performs to their ability (and that includes Kendrick, who everyone thought was going to be a batting champion one day), then they’ll have the better lineup. But until that happens, I’d put my money on the Dodgers’ lineup, especially once Crawford gets back.

Andre Ethier, Matt Kemp

THE ROTATIONS

Angels: 

1. Jered Weaver
2. C.J. Wilson
3. Tommy Hanson
4. Joe Blanton
5. Garrett Richards

Dodgers

1. Clayton Kershaw
2. Zack Greinke
3. Chad Billingsley
4. Hyun-Jin Ryu
5. Josh Beckett

Coming into this offseason, both teams wanted to improve their starting rotations, and I think each did. However, I think the Angels losing Greinke really hurt them. I also wasn’t in complete agreement with them just giving up on Dan Haren and Ervin Santana; I really wonder if they’re going to get what they could have gotten from those two from Hanson and Blanton. And Richards is going to be good somewhere down the road, but I’m not so sure he’s ready for a full-time rotation spot. There are even some question marks surrounding Wilson, who had a terrible second half for the Angels in 2012. Weaver is no doubt the ace, but health is a bit of a concern with him; same goes for Hanson.

To me, the Dodgers obviously have the better rotation, even though there are a few enigmas in theirs as well. Kershaw/Greinke is one- if not the best- 1-2 punches in baseball, and they get to throw half of their games at the pitcher-friendly Dodger Stadium. After Kershaw and Greinke, however, there are a few questions. Billingsley can be an All-Star caliber pitcher when he’s on, but that isn’t always the case. Perhaps not having the pressure of being a #2 starter will help him. Anyway, the 4-5 spots in the Dodgers’ rotation should go to Ryu and Beckett, in my opinion. The Dodgers also have veterans Ted Lilly, Chris Capuano, and Aaron Harang, all of whom are capable of starting, but I think Ryu and Beckett will give them better results than any of the other two.

Clayton Kershaw

It’s evident that both of these teams will have to back up their rotations with those huge lineups, but I think the Dodgers are better off starter-wise.

THE ‘PENS 

(NOTE: I only put the six guys who I thought were guaranteed spots. There are probably going to be a few other long relievers in each bullpen>)

Angels: 

Ryan Madson
Ernesto Frieri
Scott Downs
Sean Burnett
Kevin Jepsen
Jerome Williams

Dodgers: 

Brandon League
Kenley Jansen
Ronald Belisario
Scott Elbert
Matt Guerrier
Javy Guerra

This is actually the one category in which I think the Angels are better off. There’s only one guy that I think the Dodgers can count on to be consistent, and that’s Jansen. The rest of the guys- including League, who they named their closer and threw $22 million at- have had up-and-down careers.

The Angels, on the other hand, have a nice mix of young flamethrowers and veteran guys who know how to pitch. I loved the Madson pick-up; I expect him to have a good year even though he missed all of 2012. Frieri can also close if need be. Then they have a great tandem of lefties in Downs and Burnett. This has the makings of a great bullpen for the Angels.

Frieri

These are both going to be very exciting teams to watch, and I wouldn’t be at all surprised if we saw an LA vs. LA World Series (though it never seems to work out that way). I think the Dodgers have the slight edge, but that’s not to put a damper on the team the Angels are going to field.

> The Phillies signed Mike Adams to a two-year, $12 million deal (plus a vesting option for a third year), so that puts to bed any rumors that spoke of his possible return to Milwaukee. But Doug Melvin probably wouldn’t have been willing to give him $6 million a year anyway.

> The Mets are being the Mets once again, as they have a deal in place to send the reigning NL Cy Young Award winner- R.A. Dickey- to the Blue Jays in a seven-player deal. The deal also includes Josh Thole and another prospect going to the Jays along with Dickey, while the Mets are getting back Travis d’Arnaud, Noah Syndergaard, John Buck, and a prospect.

I’m starting to wonder why the Mets gave an extension to David Wright if this is what they intended to do all along, but that’s their screwed-up organization for you. But I like the deal for the Blue Jays. They may have hurt themselves in the long run, but they’re making themselves favorites for the AL East next year. They’ve assembled a pretty nice rotation in Dickey, Josh Johnson, Mark Buerhle, Brandon Morrow, and Ricky Romero, all of whom have been considered aces at some point in their careers.

> Minor moves: 

Phillies: Signed John Lannan to a one-year deal.
Marlins: Signed Jonathan Albaladejo and Ed Lucas to minor league deals.
Giants: Signed Javier Herrera to a minor league deal.
Twins: Signed Mike Pelfrey to a one-year deal.

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Greinke’s solid effort goes for naught after 15 innings

June 18, 2012

> These aren’t the type of games you can lose. The Brewers’ fell to the Twins today, 5-4, after an extremely discouraging 15 innings. Despite a solid effort from Zack Greinke, the Brewers couldn’t capitalize on any late-inning RISP chances.

Greinke went eight innings while giving up four runs on eleven hits. He walked two and struck out six. The eleven hits and four runs don’t look too great on the box score, but those numbers are because of a bump in the road in the seventh. Other than that, he had a decent start. But this was just his second time completing eight innings as a Brewer.

The Brewers got on the board quickly against Twins starter Nick Blackburn on Aramis Ramirez’s RBI single in the first inning. But Joe Mauer helped the Twins answer back in the third inning with an RBI single of his own.

Then, in the fifth inning, the Brewers put up their biggest threat of the game. Norichika Aoki led off the inning with a double off the right field wall, and Nyjer Morgan followed that by reaching on a bunt single. That gave the Brewers runners on first and third with no outs, but they nearly wasted the opportunity. Ryan Braun hit a weak pop up to second baseman Jamey Carroll, and Ramirez struck out looking. That brought up Corey Hart, who battled with Blackburn until the count was full. Hart then came through in the clutch and hit a three-run blast over the right field wall, not an easy feat at Target Field. This gave the Brewers a 4-1 lead.

But then came Greinke’s rough seventh. I don’t want to say he melted down, but he did blow the lead. He started the inning by walking the hot-hitting Trevor Plouffe, which I didn’t mind; it’s better than him hitting another one into the second deck. Greinke then recovered by inducing a Ryan Doumit pop-out and a Brian Dozier groundout, with Plouffe advancing to second on the groundout. Then came a Twins hitting barrage. Carroll drove in Plouffe with an RBI single, and Denard Span followed that with another single to put runners on first and third. Ben Revere then hit an RBI single, which set the stage for another RBI single by Mauer, who once again tied up the game.

No one would have guessed that the next run of the game would come another eight innings later. Tim Dillard was on to pitch the 15th inning, and gave up a lead-off single to Plouffe. He came back to strike out Doumit, but then gave up a single to Dozier. Carroll followed that up with a single that Plouffe tried to score on, but the right fielder Aoki gunned him down at home. This put runners on first and third with one out. Then, Ron Roenicke made yet another questionable move by replacing Dillard with lefty Juan Perez to face the left-handed hitting Span. I still don’t know why, since Dillard appeared to be handling the rest of the lefties in the Twins’ lineup just fine. Naturally, though, Span hit a walk-off single off Perez to give the Twins their win.

> But the Brewers wasted a ton of scoring chances all game, especially in the extra innings they were given. They wound up leaving 17 men on base, which is averaging over one man left on per inning. And they wonder why the aren’t scoring runs.

> Today was an interesting game. The game seemed to be moving along at a reasonable case, although it started raining after the first pitch and continued to drizzle until around the 11th inning. As Kameron Loe was finishing pitching the 11th, the skies opened up, and the tarp was pulled onto the field. So there was a rain delay in extra innings, not something you see very often. But this made the game extend to nearly six hours long.

> Sort of a random note to end on, but that’s about it. The Brewers come back home to start a three-game set with the Blue Jays tomorrow. Here are what the matchups are looking like:

Henderson Alvarez (3-6, 3.87 ERA) vs. Randy Wolf (2-5, 5.06 ERA)

??? vs. Shaun Marcum (5-3, 3.39 ERA)

??? vs. Yovani Gallardo (5-5, 4.23 ERA)

As you can see, there are a few TBAs on the Blue Jays’ side. That’s because they’ve been having Brewers-injury luck lately. Within a five-day span, three members of their starting rotation were injured- Brandon Morrow, Kyle Drabek, and Drew Hutchison. But, on the bright side, the Brewers won’t have to face Morrow, who was leading the American League in shutouts and appeared to be on his way to an All-Star campaign.

> Anyway, thanks for reading, and feel free to leave your thoughts.